Buy-and-Hold is Not Easy
11) The eleventh tenet of Valuation-Informed Indexing is that buy-and-hold investing is a far more complicated and difficult (but effective!) strategy than it is often portrayed to be.
I have opened section C of our Current Research to address Buy-and-Hold investing. This is where I constructed some tables in Buy-and-Hold Projections and Buy-and-Hold Dollar Projections.
Buy-and-Hold does not always make sense. It takes a lot of time to assure success. Chances are about 20% that you will lose buying power at year 20 if you buy-and-hold stock (i.e., the S&P500) today.
Allow yourself 30 years and you will make money. Take valuations into account (when you make your single purchase) and you are likely to make more money, sooner.
Current Research C: True Buy-and-Hold Investing
Have fun.
John Walter Russell November 8, 2005
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